Milei would exceed 50% of the votes and would win in the first round, according to an electoral poll

Milei would exceed 50% of the votes and would win in the first round, according to an electoral poll
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The study explained that one of the key factors behind this number is the great loyalty of the ruling electorate.

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of greater polarization.

One of the key factors behind these numbers is the great loyalty of the ruling electorate. According to the survey, 86.1% of those who voted for Milei in 2023 would choose him again, creating a solid and stable core of

support.

In the case of a ballot, that support deepens even more: 89.8% of its original voters would maintain their support, consolidating a very high electoral floor.

From a territorial point of view, the interior of the country appears to be a decisive bastion for the ruling party, with levels of support that make it possible to compensate other districts amply and sustain the national advantage.

With these data, the Arena Pública study projects an electoral scenario in which Javier Milei clearly positions himself as the main candidate for 2027, with numbers that project him towards a possible re-election with broad popular support.

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  1. JORDI WILD EXPUSO A PEDRO SÁNCHEZ POR LA INVASIÓN DE CEUTA: Sánchez: "Evitamos que se provocara una catástrofe y una tragedia que afortunadamente se evitó". Jordi Wild: "La tragedia fue tener a una ciudad española en una situación pésima durante semanas".

    5 min ago

  2. BASADO: MARCO RUBIO RESPONDIÓ A LOS GLOBALISTAS QUE LLORARON PORQUE RETIRÓ BANDERAS EXTRANJERAS "Que la ONU se quede con todas esas banderas. Este es el Departamento de Estado de Estados Unidos".

    16 min ago

  3. PAPELÓN DE JORDI WILD: DEFENDIÓ A PEDRO SÁNCHEZ CUANDO FEIJÓO EXPUSO EL USO DE DINERO DE LA PROSTITUCIÓN EN LAS PRIMARIAS DEL PSOE Feijóo: "¿Es verdad que las primarias de Sánchez se financiaron con el dinero de la prostitución?". Jordi Wild: "No es lo mismo que decir que vive de la prostitución". Feijóo: "¿Y entonces por qué no se quiere contestar?".

    28 min ago

  4. MARCO RUBIO DENUNCIÓ EL ATAQUE GLOBALISTA A LA SOBERANÍA NACIONAL: El secretario de Estado acusó a la ONU y a la Corte Penal internacional de exigir fronteras abiertas y someter a los países a tribunales cuyos integrantes no fueron elegidos por sus ciudadanos. "Nos dan lecciones sobre la importancia de la soberanía mientras exigen que las naciones cedan el control de sus fronteras y deleguen sus leyes migratorias en tribunales internacionales no electos".

    38 min ago

  5. HIPOCRESÍA: JORDI WILD LAMENTA NO HABERLE HECHO MÁS PREGUNTAS 'A FEIJÓO, PERO EVITÓ LOS ESCÁNDALOS DE PEDRO SÁNCHEZ El youtuber afirmó que gestionó mal el tiempo de su entrevista con el líder del Partido Popular y lamentó haberse quedado sin tiempo para hacerle más preguntas. Sin embargo, durante su encuentro con Pedro Sánchez no le preguntó por las denuncias sobre financiamiento vinculado al narcotráfico, la investigación judicial contra su esposa, Begoña Gómez, las polémicas por la Ley de Nietos que usa para que voten extranjeros ni la controversia por el funeral de las víctimas del accidente ferroviario. Pese a reconocer públicamente sus errores, Jordi Wild no incluyó entre ellos la ausencia de preguntas sobre estos asuntos de altísimo interés público, que eran precisamente los que gran parte de la audiencia más quería que le planteara a Sánchez y que comprometen políticamente al Gobierno socialista, dejando en evidencia su posicionamiento político.

    47 min ago

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Further behind are the Left Front with 5.6%, other forces with 2.8%, the undecided with 2.3% and United Provinces with 2.2%.

A possible ballot The president

's strength is also evidenced in a possible ballot.

In a second round against the ultra-Kirchner player Axel Kicillof, Milei would obtain 54.3% of the votes against 37.3%, widening the gap and consolidating a 17-point advantage.
Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof.
Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof.

This scenario suggests that the president not only maintains his electoral base, but also manages to attract additional support in instances

A national survey conducted by the consultancy firm Arena Pública in March 2026 placed President Javier Milei in a very strong position of advantage ahead of the elections of 2027, with levels of voting intention that would allow it to prevail without the need for a second round

.

According to the survey, La Libertad Avanza would reach 50.8% of the votes at the national level, a percentage that not only exceeds the threshold required by the Constitution to be enshrined in the first round, but also marks a result of strong political weight.

This level of support places the ruling party above relevant historical precedents, even surpassing Carlos Menem's electoral performances in 1989 and 1995, which reinforces the magnitude of the projected scenario.

President Javier Milei.
President Javier Milei.

In the revised electoral scheme, Milei's party consolidates itself as the country's main force, with an enormous advantage that clearly positions it at

the forefront of the national political scene.

Behind La Libertad Avanza, in the first-round scenario, is Peronism/Kirchnerism with 30.3%, while the blank vote reaches 6%.