The business plan anticipates starting drilling in 2027 and moving towards commercial production in 2028. Therefore, the Argentine government considers it essential to obtain a resolution that prevents the companies from continuing to develop the venture while the controversy remains open.
The dispute is not limited to an economic issue. The exploitation of hydrocarbons represents another chapter in Argentina's sovereignty dispute over the Falkland Islands and their surrounding maritime spaces.
In parallel, the arrival of Princess Anne, sister of King Charles III, to the archipelago on November 9 also generated attention. Her visit, confirmed by the official activity log of the British Royal House, coincided with the start of the hearings in Hamburg.
When could the ruling of the Tribunal of the Sea be known
With the presentations of both delegations concluded, the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea must analyze the arguments and determine whether to grant the provisional measures requested by Argentina.
There are three possible scenarios: the judges fully accept the Argentine request and order the halt of Sea Lion, grant partial measures, or reject the request.
The legal peculiarity of the procedure is that the United Kingdom chose the International Court of Justice as the mechanism to resolve disputes under UNCLOS, while Argentina selected the Tribunal of the Sea. Since the choices do not coincide, the underlying conflict must be processed through arbitration provided for in Annex VII of the Convention.
Therefore, ITLOS intervenes at this stage to determine whether provisional measures should be adopted while the arbitral tribunal is established.
Friday, November 13, appears to be the estimated date for knowing the resolution, although the ruling could be delayed a few more days. Rockhopper itself communicated to its investors that it expects a decision before the end of the year.
An eventual ruling in favor of Argentina would have significant legal and diplomatic consequences: it would allow for the establishment of restrictions on British oil advancement and reinforce international recognition that there is an ongoing dispute between both countries.
Milei's strategy aims to use the tools of international law to defend Argentina's natural resources and prevent the United Kingdom from consolidating the economic exploitation of an area whose sovereignty continues to be claimed by Buenos Aires.










