In comparison, other leaders appear below in the various evaluated scenarios, reinforcing the competitive advantage of the president.
Milei leads the electoral polls and positions himself as the favorite for reelection
Various national studies show the ruling party leading in voting intention, runoff scenarios, and electoral projections
In comparison, other leaders appear below in the various evaluated scenarios, reinforcing the competitive advantage of the president.
The average of the latest national polls positions President Javier Milei as the main candidate for a potential reelection, increasing the chances of being the first non-Peronist president to be reelected since 1983.
According to a survey of a dozen studies released over the past month, the ruling party of La Libertad Avanza (LLA) leads the main electoral variables, achieving a sustained advantage both as a political space and on an individual level.
The analysis, which includes measurements from consulting firms of various profiles and trajectories, shows that LLA is in first place in voting intention.
On average, the space reaches 32.3%, surpassing the Kirchnerist Peronism, which records 23.5%. This difference of 8.8 points positions the ruling party as the force with the most support in the current scenario.
In the measurement by candidate, the trend remains. Milei obtains a 33.1% voting intention, placing him again at the forefront and further increasing the performance of his own space. This data reinforces his political centrality and his ability to directly attract electoral support.
Another of the analyzed indicators is the electoral potential, where the President's numbers also stand out. Milei has a floor of 25.6% of voters who say “they would definitely vote for him.” Adding the probable vote (14.1%), his electoral ceiling rises to 39.7%, consolidating a solid base of support and a significant margin for growth.
Even in a potential runoff, the data shows Milei in a favorable position. On average, he reaches 45.4% against 39.2% of Axel Kicillof, his main competitor, which implies a 6.2-point advantage in his favor.
The studies also agree that La Libertad Avanza leads in the four main electoral fields analyzed: voting intention by space, intention by candidate, electoral floors and ceilings, and runoff projection.
Furthermore, the current political landscape shows fragmentation in other spaces that contributes to strengthening the ruling party's position. In this context, Milei manages to capitalize on the consolidated support of his electorate and expand his projection on the national political map.
Although the electoral process is still far off, the current data anticipates a scenario in which the President remains the dominant figure, with a sustained advantage in the main variables measured by consulting firms.
Thus, the recent results consolidate Javier Milei as the best-positioned leader in the electoral race, with numbers that place him at the forefront and with concrete prospects of continuing to expand his support base.