The study poses the classic question: “If the presidential elections were today…”, including options with defined candidates, as well as blank votes and the category “don’t know”.
A new national poll shows the President leading by more than 10 points
The study poses the classic question: “If the presidential elections were today…”, including options with defined candidates, as well as blank votes and the category “don’t know”.
The consulting firm Explanans published a new national survey that projects a very favorable electoral scenario for President Javier Milei.
In its latest study, the firm shows the libertarian leader with a significant advantage in voting intention against the ultra-Kirchnerist governor Axel Kicillof.
The survey, conducted between May 28 and June 3 on 7,015 cases nationwide, presents a margin of error of 1.17% and is based on online surveys. It is part of the ninth report that the consulting firm has prepared since the presidential inauguration, with periodic evaluations every 100 days.
In a first round scenario, the results show that Milei reaches 38.2% of voting intention, while Kicillof comes in second with 28%.
This gap of 10.2 points positions the President close to victory in the first round and without the need for a runoff, considering that one of the conditions to win outright is to exceed 40%, having more than 10 points of difference over the second.
In this context, undecided voters and blank votes represent a small percentage (5% and 2.8% respectively), which reinforces the strength of the ruling party's leadership in the measurement.
Further back are other figures in the political landscape. The communist Myriam Bregman registers at 12.8%, while Mauricio Macri obtains 5.2%, both remaining considerably below the two main candidates.
The report also includes an analysis of a potential runoff between Milei and Kicillof, where a scenario of greater parity is projected, although the central data of the study focuses on the first round, where the current President achieves a wide advantage that positions him as the main candidate.
With these numbers, the electoral landscape presents Milei as the best-positioned candidate, with a solid support base and room to win in the first round if the trend continues.